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Palestinian Public Opinion on War, Leadership, Peace, and Future Prospects: Insights from PCPSR Poll No. 96 (October 2025)
The Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PCPSR) conducted its 96th poll from October 22-25, 2025. It surveyed 1,200 adults: 760 in the West Bank and 440 in Gaza. Humanitarian Crisis and War Perceptions - In Gaza, 87% report access to food for a day or two (up from 47% five months ago). - 72% have family members killed (51%) or injured (63%). - Displacement: 31% moved 2-3 times, 36% 4-6 times, 13% 7-10 times. - Blame for suffering: Israel (54%), US (24%
abuerfanparsi
Oct 30, 20252 min read


Fatemiyoun's Forefathers: The Genesis of Afghan Shia Militancy (1979-2001)
The Fatemiyoun Division's origin story is not a simple one. It is deeply rooted in the Iranian Revolution, the U.S.-Soviet proxy war, and, most critically, Iran’s mobilization of Afghan mujahideen during the Iran-Iraq War. This history reveals a long-standing, complex strategy by the Islamic Republic to cultivate allied forces from Afghanistan's marginalized Shia Hazara community—a strategy forged in the crucible of 20th-century conflict. I. The Roots of Mobilization: Hazara
abuerfanparsi
Oct 25, 20255 min read


From Beirut to Karbala: Mao’s Water-Fish Doctrine of Resistance and Hezbollah’s Strategy
Introduction The maritime attack attributed to Hezbollah did not provoke public outrage among Lebanese populations at the time; the commonly given explanation is that no Lebanese civilians were killed while at least 299 foreign occupying military personnel were killed. Even critics of Hezbollah within Lebanon said that “in the 1980s, Hezbollah was honorable.” Local Support and the Manhaj of Hezbollah A central operational principle of Imad Mughniyah and Hezbollah’s leadership
abuerfanparsi
Oct 24, 20255 min read


YAHYA SINWAR’S LAST OFFICIAL STATEMENT: A LETTER OF GRATITUDE TO SAYYID HASSAN NASRALLAH
Introduction: A Document from the Shadows In September 2024, from the heart of a besieged Gaza, Yahya Sinwar, one of Israel's most-wanted figures, issued what would be his final official communication. This letter, addressed to Hezbollah's Secretary-General, Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah, is more than a mere thank-you note; it is a concise political manifesto that encapsulates Sinwar's strategic worldview, his unwavering objectives, and his intended legacy at the culmination of a d
abuerfanparsi
Oct 22, 20252 min read


The Geopolitics of Insurgency: The Critical Role of Foreign Training for Revolutionary Movements
The capacity of revolutionary movements to project power and sustain prolonged conflicts is often less a function of their intrinsic strength and more a reflection of their ability to secure external patronage. A critical component of this support is access to safe havens for military training. As elucidated in Abu Musab al-Suri's 2004 treatise, Call to Global Islamic Resistance , the practice of "open training under the protection of a country of asylum" has been a historica
abuerfanparsi
Oct 18, 20254 min read


The Architect of Chaos: How Ali Abdullah Saleh’s “dancing on the heads of snakes” Fueled the Rise of the Houthis
The political history of modern Yemen is often described as “dancing on the heads of snakes”—a phrase jokingly coined by former President Ali Abdullah Saleh to describe the delicate art of balancing the country's myriad tribes, factions, and rivalries. Yet, Saleh was not merely a dancer navigating a pre-existing pit of snakes; he was a master breeder who nurtured his most dangerous enemy himself. His decades-long strategy of playing rivals against one another, particularly hi
abuerfanparsi
Oct 16, 20253 min read


The Iranian Supply Line: How Tehran Armed Hamas with the Rockets that Redefined Gaza’s Wars
The transformation of Hamas from a militia reliant on rudimentary arms into a force capable of striking Tel Aviv represents a pivotal...
abuerfanparsi
Oct 10, 20254 min read


Fuad in Shebaa, Imad in Dubai: Hezbollah’s Masterclass in Asymmetric Warfare
Imad Mughniyah in the cockpit of TWA flight 847, June 1985 A coordinated campaign of abduction across the Middle East in October 2000...
abuerfanparsi
Oct 7, 20255 min read


The Forgotten Front: Soleimani's 2014 Attempt to Forge a Sunni-Shia Axis in Yemen
A previously unreported diplomatic initiative in 2014, spearheaded by the late Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani, reveals a bold and...
abuerfanparsi
Oct 4, 20253 min read


The Geopolitical Re-Alignment of Hamas: Navigating Between Ankara and Tehran
Then-Hamas Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh giving a speech at a rally in Tehran on February 11, 2012. A silent but intense war of hearts...
abuerfanparsi
Oct 2, 20253 min read


The Unforgettable Mountain: Qasem Soleimani's Eulogy for Imad Mughniyeh
A Legacy of Resistance: Soleimani's Personal Tribute Delivered by Martyr Haj Qasem Soleimani in memory of his friend and comrade Martyr...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 29, 20258 min read


Revolutionary Vanguard: Khomeinism's Roadmap from an Islamic State to a Civilizational Bloc
Khomeinism's Strategic Framework Introduction: Beyond the Sectarian Lens The foreign policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran, often termed...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 28, 20254 min read


The "Proto-Abraham Accords" of 1978-1982: A Failed Anti-Syrian Coalition
Introduction: The Anglo-Zionist Strategy of Reactionary Alliances In its persistent effort to secure a colonial foothold for itself and...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 26, 20254 min read


Fitna vs. Intifada: How Anglo-Zionist Strategy Exploits Sectarian Divisions
The Anglo-Zionist strategy thrives on a simple linguistic dichotomy: their favorite Arabic word is fitna —strife between Muslims—and...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 26, 20253 min read


THE FORGOTTEN HISTORY OF THE IRANIAN WEAPONS REACHING GAZA BY SEA:A Collaboration between Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas and Yasser Arafat
Commemoration and the Quds Force Mandate In his speech on 5 August 2025, Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem — reminiscing...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 22, 202514 min read


A Biography of Shahid Ibrahim Aqil, the Genius Architect of the Resistance
To mark the martyrdom anniversary of Shahid Ibrahim Aqil, I have published this biography to shed light on his lesser-known life and...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 20, 20257 min read


Jolani's hypocritical Relations with Russia and Iran in Post-Assad Syria
Introduction: The Strategic Landscape in Post-Assad Syria The fall of the Syria in December 2024 marked a seismic shift in Middle Eastern...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 17, 20256 min read


The Birth of Hamas’ Foreign Policy — a summary
This article solely serves as a summary and analysis of the original work "The Birth of Hamas’ Foreign Policy in Response to Saddam’s...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 17, 20254 min read


The Lebanon Escalation (1977-1982): A Blueprint for Understanding Israeli Strategy in the 2023-2025 Conflict
Beirut: Photos from the Israeli invasion of Lebanon 1982/3 The Doctrine of Strategic Accelerationism A doctrine of strategic...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 11, 20255 min read


The Qana Massacre of 1996: A Catalytic Event in the Lives of Bin Laden, Bennett, Mughniyeh, and Netanyahu
The Qana Massacre of 1996: A Catalytic Event in the Lives of Bin Laden, Bennett, Mughniyeh, and Netanyahu On April 11, 1996, during the...
abuerfanparsi
Sep 8, 20254 min read
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